MONDAY: Kicking off your new work and school week will be quiet – and mild. After humble beginning in the 30s to near 40, we’ll warm nicely into the 60s to lower 70s by the afternoon amid mostly to partly sunny skies. Clouds will hang around and thicken a bit overnight – this will keep temperatures at night buoyed a bit – in the 40s to near 50.
TUESDAY: We’ll start off with a mix of clouds and sun – eventually, clouds thicken with a risk for a few showers emerging by the end of the day. Still, with the clouds, we’ll be able to sneak highs into the upper 60s and lower 70s. A few more showers will flow northward off the Gulf of Mexico overnight with lows in the 50s.
EXTENDED RANGE: A sluggish storm system may yield a few pockets of strong storms by late Wednesday into Thursday. In addition to the storm risk, heavy rain will turn likely by Thursday as the front makes its way toward the east. Rainfall totals could be closer to 1-3" before the end of the week. Temperatures will tumble Thursday from the 60s early to the 40s by the end of the day. Sun and clouds will mix Friday – though highs we’ll only manage the lower 40s. A slow return of milder air will filter in through the weekend and into next week.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
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January 2022
January 31, 2022
January 21, 2022
Harsh Cold Continues Friday, Into Weekend
FRIDAY: Our system finally gets shoved toward the east and skies will gradually clear late. We’ll stay chilly, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s - though, wind chills will likely stay in the 20s to near 30 all day. Skies turn clear overnight with lows falling into the upper 10s and lower 20s.
WEEKEND PLANNER: Hard freezes will remain impactful both Saturday and Sunday mornings with temperatures in the lower 20s – a reminder to check on the 4 Ps of people, pets, pipes and plants. Outside of that, dry Arctic high pressure will edge into the region, keeping sunshine in high supply amid the chilly air. Highs on Saturday will top out in the 40s; lower 50s return for Sunday afternoon.
EXTENDED RANGE: While Monday will start quiet, expect clouds to increase, eventually leading to higher rain chances Monday night into the start of Tuesday. Highs will top out both days in the 50s. Behind that system, colder air returns with highs in the 40s for Wednesday and Thursday along with lows in the 20s. A weak disturbance may kick up a shower or two late Thursday into Friday of next week ahead of a rebound to ‘near-normal’ highs next weekend.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 20, 2022
Arctic Blast Reigns Supreme Through Late Week, Weekend Ahead
THURSDAY: As the front slips southward, lingering moisture will keep rain chances elevated for the start of the day. This should exit through mid-morning, though clouds will hang tough with afternoon temperatures, generally, stuck in the 30s amid a brisk northerly wind. Overnight, clouds continue to hang over the region with our front hanging to the south. A few spots south of US 84 could see freezing drizzle develop after midnight as lows fall back to the middle to upper 20s.
FRIDAY: Our stalled front to the south will keep us unsettled through much of the day – but gradual improvements are expected by the late afternoon hours. Patches of freezing drizzle can’t be ruled out near and south of US 84 – this could cause minor issues for the morning commute in these spots. Our system finally gets shoved toward the east and skies will gradually clear late. We’ll stay chilly, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Skies turn clear overnight with lows falling into the lower 20s.
EXTENDED RANGE: Hard freezes will remain an issue through the weekend as we trend quiet Saturday and Sunday, but with our front finally making progress away from the region, temperatures will get a chance to slowly recover into early next week. Our next rain maker will move in Monday night into Tuesday before ushering in another blast of chilly air mid-late week.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 19, 2022
Warm, Breezy Ahead of Storms Wednesday; Cold, Unsettled Late Week
WEDNESDAY: Our next weather maker will move into the area through the day, eventually bringing a round of rain and storms back into the fold through the afternoon and evening hours. A few showers could kick off the morning amid variably cloudy skies – highs will top out in the upper 60s and lower 70s amid breezy southwest wind. Storm chances increase late – a few could be strong with gusty winds as the line shifts south. Overnight, lows will drop back into the 30s.
THURSDAY: As the front slips southward, lingering moisture in its wake may bring a bout of patchy freezing rain or sleet to start off the day. This will come with little impact – but something that should be monitored for the early commute. Moisture will exit through mid-morning, though clouds will hang tough with afternoon temperatures, generally, stuck in the 30s amid a brisk northerly wind. Overnight, clouds continue to hang over the region with our front hanging to the south. A few spots south of US 84 could see freezing rain develop after midnight as lows fall back to the middle to upper 20s.
EXTENDED RANGE: Our pattern remains unsettled through late week. The front to our south could have a wave of energy ride along it by Friday into Saturday, spilling moisture back into the area that could yield a period of freezing rain or sleet that could be impactful near and south of US 84. Hard freezes will remain an issue through the weekend as we trend quiet Saturday and Sunday. After this, a slow rebound in temperatures back to near normal by mid-next week ahead of our next cold snap.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 18, 2022
Seasonable Tuesday; Rain, Cold Return Mid-Late Week
TUESDAY: Heading back to school and work on Tuesday will feature another bout of chilly air to start the day, but amid mostly to partly sunny skies, we’ll rebound into the 60s by the afternoon hours. Clouds will gradually increase overnight Tuesday ahead of our next rain maker due in Wednesday. Lows will drop back into the 40s and lower 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Our next weather maker will move into the area through the day, eventually bringing a round of rain and storms back into the fold through the afternoon and evening hours. A few showers could kick off the morning amid variably cloudy skies – highs will top out in the upper 60s and lower 70s amid breezy southwest wind. Storm chances increase late – a few could be strong with gusty winds as the line shifts south. Overnight, lows will drop back into the 30s.
EXTENDED RANGE: Much colder air will infiltrate the region - highs by Thursday and Friday will run in the lower 40s; overnight well into the 20s. Thursday morning could feature a brief wintry mix with temperatures near critical levels that will need to be monitored. Our pattern remains unsettled through late week. The front to our south could have a wave of energy ride along it by Friday into Saturday, spilling moisture back into the area. We’ll continue to watch its evolution through the week. After this, a slow rebound in temperatures back to near normal by mid-next week.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 17, 2022
Quiet Monday; Rain, Cold Return Mid-Late Week
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 14, 2022
Messy Weekend System Yields Rain, Snow Chances
FRIDAY: As high pressure begins to sneak farther east, return flow off the Gulf of Mexico will help to set the stage for our weekend weather maker. Expect mostly to partly sunny skies as highs work their way back into the 60s by the afternoon hours. Clouds will gradually increase overnight with lows in the middle to upper 40s.
WEEKEND PLANNER: Our next system will move into the area through Saturday and could linger into parts of Sunday. This – a combination of two systems will link up over the area – helping to facilitate rain showers, heavy at times, on Saturday – then, a changeover to a rain/snow mix by early Sunday morning. Timing and positioning of the system will be highly critical to overall impacts – but as of now, minor impacts could be possible for areas north of I-20 with some low-end accumulations closer to the US 82 corridor. Fine tuning will be needed in the evolution of this part of the forecast. Temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s Saturday; we’ll struggle into the upper 30s and lower 40s Sunday with a brisk northerly wind – gusts could be 25-35 mph, dragging wind chills down into the 20s for Sunday. Snow showers will end through mid-day as the system exits – a cold night in the 20s and 30s likely by early Monday.
EXTENDED RANGE: Beyond our messy weekend system, we’ll trend dry and quiet into early next week with highs in the 50s - eventually 60s Tuesday and Wednesday before another rain system moves over the area. Behind it, another blast of chilly air filters by week’s end.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 13, 2022
Mild, Quiet Late Week; Wintry Changes Possible This Weekend
THURSDAY: In the wake of our disturbance – sunshine returns in full through the day. Expect morning 30s to give way to afternoon 60s, seasonably mild for this time of the year. A few clouds will sneak in during the overnight period with lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s.
FRIDAY: As high pressure begins to sneak farther east, return flow off the Gulf of Mexico will help to set the stage for our weekend weather maker. Expect mostly to partly sunny skies as highs work their way back into the 60s by the afternoon hours. Clouds will gradually increase overnight with lows in the middle to upper 40s.
EXTENDED RANGE: Our next system will move into the area through Saturday and could linger into parts of Sunday. This – a combination of two systems will link up over the area – helping to facilitate rain showers on Saturday – then the possibility of a changeover to a rain/snow mix by early Sunday morning. Timing and positioning of the system will be highly critical to overall impacts – but as of now, confidence is increasing, but fine tuning will be needed in the evolution of this part of the forecast. Stay tuned for the latest. Beyond this, we’ll trend dry and quiet into early next week with highs in the 50s - eventually 60s Tuesday and Wednesday before another rain system moves over the area.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 12, 2022
Mild Mid-Late Week; Unsettled Pattern This Weekend
WEDNESDAY: A weak disturbance will shift across central and southwest Mississippi through mid-week, kicking up more clouds in the skies, though – we'll remain dry and quiet. Expect morning 30s to give way to another day of seasonable 50s to lower 60s. Skies will generally clear through the evening hours as lows drop back to the middle to upper 30s.
THURSDAY: In the wake of our disturbance – sunshine returns in full through the day. Expect morning 30s to give way to afternoon 60s, seasonably mild for this time of the year. A few clouds will sneak in during the overnight period with lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s.
EXTENDED RANGE: As high pressure shifts eastward, clouds will begin to increase again through your Friday – we’ll remain mild, in the lower 60s to round out the work week. Our next system will move into the area through Saturday and could linger into parts of Sunday. This – a combination of two systems will link up over the area – helping to facilitate rain showers on Saturday – then the possibility of a changeover to a wintry mix overnight Saturday into early Sunday. Timing and positioning of the system will be highly critical to overall impacts– but as of now, confidence remains low in the evolution of this part of the forecast. Beyond this, we’ll trend dry and quiet into early next week with highs in the 50s.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
January 11, 2022
Quiet, Seasonable Through Week Ahead; Rain Returns Saturday
TUESDAY: Sunshine sticks around to kick off Tuesday – chilly air will also stick around. Starting off in the 20s and 30s, we’ll rebound to the middle 50s by the afternoon hours. Another cold night ahead with skies turning partly clear, but not as chilly as Monday night – we'll be in the lower to middle 30s.
WEDNESDAY: A weak disturbance will shift across central and southwest Mississippi through mid-week, kicking up more clouds in the skies, though – we'll remain dry and quiet. Expect morning 30s to give way to another day of seasonable middle to upper 50s. Skies will generally clear through the evening hours as lows drop back to the middle to upper 30s.
EXTENDED RANGE: High pressure will hang over the area through late week, keeping the weather quiet and gradually modifying temperatures. 60s return Thursday and Friday – though, opportunities for showers will sneak in into Saturday, turning us cooler again by Sunday and early next week with highs in upper 40s and lower 50s.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx