WEDNESDAY: A small weakness in the upper ridge will allow for a slightly better chance for showers and storms to flare up through the afternoon and evening hours. Expect a mostly to partly sunny day – highs will top out in the 90s; feeling closer to 110. Storms will track from east to west through early evening before fizzling out late. Lows will fall to the middle 70s.
THURSDAY: The upper wind flow will shift more off the Gulf of Mexico through the day – with it, expect a mix of sun and clouds giving way to scattered, mainly afternoon, showers and storms to develop. Highs will top out, generally, in the lower 90s. Storms may have some staying power after sunset in a few instances before fizzling out with a partly clear sky.
EXTENDED FORECAST: As the ridge begins to buckle and shift eastward through late week – highs will ease back toward ‘near-normal’ levels and an increase in opportunity for showers and storms to flare up each afternoon. Highs will be in the lower 90s; overnights in the lower to middle 70s. Rain chances each day will run 30-40%.
CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE: The Gulf of Mexico could become more active over the next few days - a disturbance, currently in the Caribbean, has HIGH potential for development through the end of the week and into the weekend. A large area of high pressure will hang off the Carolina coastline to push whatever enters the Gulf, farther west. BUT, a weaker area of high pressure could allow for this system to shift farther east.Still a lot of questions to work through over the next few days and NOTHING is set in stone. A disturbance to our west could, in the very least, increase rain chance opportunities through early to mid-week.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
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