BLACK FRIDAY: A front will drape itself over the area; allowing for clouds, showers and storms to invade region yet again. A few storms near and south of I-20 could have a few stronger elements of wind and hail attached to them during the day. Highs will top out in the upper 60s and lower 70s. The front slips back south overnight, taking the elevated rain chances along with it for Saturday with lows in the 50s.
WEEKEND PLANNER: With the front to the south, rain chances will taper into Saturday ahead of the next part of the system, due in Sunday – bringing a solid soaking rain. Expect highs Saturday in the lower to middle 60s; upper 50s and lower 60s by Sunday. Rainfall totals could be 1-3" with locally heavier amounts before rain ends Monday. A few storms could be heavy in nature Sunday afternoon – possibly gusty as well.
EXTENDED FORECAST: The low pressure area will exit the area as it deepens heading up the East Coast, offering harsh north winds locally - blowing in cold air where highs Monday will be in the 40s, feeling like the 30s most of the day. Chilly air remains through next week with highs in the 50s; overnights in the freezing and frosty 20s and 30s. Another system will approach mid-week, but there lies uncertainty to its evolution Wednesday and Thursday.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 27, 2020
November 26, 2020
Quiet, Mild Thanksgiving; Rain, Storms Return Friday, Into Weekend
THANKSGIVING: A mix of sun and clouds locally across central and southwest Mississippi. Highs will top out generally in the 70s. A few passing showers can't be ruled out across the MS/LA Border Belt - but most will remain dry today. The front that brought the rain Wednesday will start to head back northward as a warm front overnight – offering a chance for rain and storms for some overnight, for most, through Black Friday.
BLACK FRIDAY: A front will drape itself over the area; allowing for clouds, showers and storms to invade region yet again. A few storms in southwest Mississippi could have a few stronger elements of wind and hail attached to them during the day. Highs will top out in the upper 60s and lower 70s. The front slips back south overnight, taking the elevated rain chances along with it for Saturday with lows in the 50s.
EXTENDED FORECAST: With the front to the south, rain chances will taper into Saturday ahead of the next part of the system, due in Sunday – bringing a solid soaking rain. Expect highs Saturday in the lower to middle 60s; upper 50s and lower 60s by Sunday. Rainfall totals could be 2-5" before rain ends Monday. Harsh north winds will blow in cold air where highs Monday will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s, feeling like the 30s most of the day. Chilly air remains through next week with highs in the 50s; overnights in the freezing and frosty 30s, even upper 20s for some.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 25, 2020
Storms Exiting; Quiet, Mild Thanksgiving
WEDNESDAY: Clouds and storms are exiting the region - expect things to remain warm and breezy ahead of the front amid partly sunny skies. In the wake of the rain, temperatures will not fall much tonight – only to the 40s and 50s after topping out in the 70s.
THANKSGIVING: The front that brought the rains to the region Wednesday will slip south and stall near I-10. In its wake – we expect a mix of sun and clouds locally with a small opportunity for a shower or two south of US 84. Highs will top out in the lower 70s. The front will start to head back northward as a warm front overnight – offering a chance for rain and storms by Black Friday.
EXTENDED FORECAST: Black Friday’s warm front could have a rogue strong to severe storm attached to it as temperatures top out in the 60s and 70s. Rain chances will taper into Saturday ahead of the next part of the system, due in Sunday – bringing a solid soaking rain. Expect highs Saturday in the lower to middle 60s; upper 50s and lower 60s by Sunday. Rainfall totals could be 2-5" before rain ends Monday. Harsh north winds will blow in cold air where highs Monday will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s, feeling like the 30s most of the day. Chilly air remains Monday night into Tuesday as our first widespread freeze of the season is likely.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 24, 2020
Milder Tuesday; Rain, Storms Wednesday
TUESDAY: Winds will shift through the day ahead of our next weather maker – though, Tuesday will, mostly, remain quiet and dry. Temperatures will quickly rebound into the 70s amid mostly to partly sunny skies. A few showers may sneak prior to midnight, though most of the rain will hold off until Wednesday. Expect lows in the 60s.
WEDNESDAY: An approaching disturbance will bring an uptick in rain and storm chances through mid-week. A few storms could be strong and gusty as they roll through the area. The main timeframe opens between 6 AM and 3 PM Wednesday as the line treks through. In the wake of the rain, temperatures will not fall much – only to the 40s and 50s after topping out in the 70s.
EXTENDED FORECAST: Thanksgiving trends drier in the wake of that system, though a few lingering showers could mix in south of I-20 amid a mix of clouds and sun. A disturbance approaches for Black Friday, offering a chance for rain and storms. A few of those storms could be gusty in nature. A more consolidated system will move in during the weekend that could bring a risk for storms before a blast of chilly air in time for December.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 23, 2020
Quiet, Cool Monday; Unsettled Days Ahead
MONDAY: A cool north breeze will usher in cooler air through the day – highs managing the lower to middle 60s through the day amid mainly sunny skies. Skies remain mainly clear tonight with lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s.
TUESDAY: Winds will shift through the day ahead of our next weather maker – though, Tuesday will, mostly, remain quiet and dry. Temperatures will quickly rebound into the 70s amid mostly to partly sunny skies. A few showers may sneak prior to midnight, though most of the rain will hold off until Wednesday. Expect lows in the 60s.
EXTENDED FORECAST: Our next system will bring scattered showers and storms into Wednesday – but will fail to bring a push a cooler air behind it. A few of the storms due in the area Wednesday could be strong and gusty, though the risk for severe weather is low. Thanksgiving trends drier in the wake of that system, though a few lingering showers could mix in south of I-20 amid a mix of clouds and sun. A disturbance approaches for Black Friday, offering a chance for rain and storms; a more consolidated system will move in during the weekend that could bring a risk for storms before a blast of chilly air in time for December.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 20, 2020
Quiet, Warm Weekend; Unsettled Thanksgiving Week
FRIDAY: With high pressure settling east of the region, flow off the Gulf of Mexico will allow for temperatures to gradually trend warmer. Highs will sneak into the middle 70s by the afternoon hours, more akin to late October than mid-late November. Amid mostly to partly clear skies, we’ll drop into the upper 40s and lower 50s by early Saturday.
WEEKEND PLANNER: We’ll remain warm through the weekend ahead – especially for mid-late November standard. Expect mostly sunny skies through Saturday with highs in the middle 70s, after starting off in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Similarly, to Saturday’s temperature regime, Sunday will follow suit, though clouds will gradually thicken through the day as our next weather maker approaches the area – offering a chance for showers, mainly after sunset.
EXTENDED FORECAST: The week of Thanksgiving turns a bit more active after several weeks of tranquil weather over the region. In the wake of our first system, skies will clear and temperatures will cool into the 60s for Monday. Our next system will be hot on its heels – moving in through late Tuesday into Wednesday, bringing in more opportunities for rain and storms. A few of the storms late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning could be gusty. The system will exit through Wednesday – ushering dry and mild weather in time for Thanksgiving Thursday.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 19, 2020
Warming Trend Commences
THURSDAY: High pressure will begin to move farther east of the region – temperatures will begin to creep a little higher. Humidity levels remain low and breezes will pick up through the day – fire danger could be elevated. Otherwise, it’s all sunshine and seasonable temperatures – from the morning 30s and 40s, to the afternoon upper 60s and lower 70s once again.
FRIDAY: With high pressure settling east of the region, flow off the Gulf of Mexico will allow for temperatures to gradually trend warmer. Morning 40s to near 50 will sneak into the middle 70s by the afternoon hours, more akin to late October than mid-late November. Amid clear skies, we’ll drop into the upper 40s and lower 50s by early Saturday.
EXTENDED FORECAST: The weekend features, mainly, quiet weather – sunshine prevailing through Saturday as temperatures work their way into the middle 70s by the afternoon hours. Clouds will gradually sneak back into the skies through Sunday ahead of our next weather maker – a cold front, due into the region late Sunday night into early Monday. We’ll trend cooler to start off the new week before our next system – a stronger front, moves in late Tuesday into early Wednesday.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 18, 2020
High & Dry Mid-Late Week
WEDNESDAY: High pressure remains firm over the region through the day ahead of a gradual eastward movement through the latter part of the week. Expect sunshine to win out again - we’ll work our way back into the 60s to near 70 through the afternoon hours.
THURSDAY: High pressure will begin to move farther east of the region – temperatures will begin to creep a little higher. Humidity levels remain low and breezes will pick up through the day – fire danger could be elevated. Otherwise, it’s all sunshine and seasonable temperatures – from the morning 30s and 40s, to the afternoon 60s and 70s once again.
EXTENDED FORECAST: With high pressure building farther east - temperatures will work their way through the 70s Friday and into the weekend. Sunshine will be prevalent through Saturday, though clouds will increase Sunday ahead of our next weather maker; a few systems will slip through the area, offering opportunities in the few days leading up to Thanksgiving next week.
TROPICS: Iota continues to drench Central America this morning as a remnant low. Elsewhere in the basin, another ‘low risk’ development area continues to be highlighted in the southwest Caribbean Sea as well as off the southeast coast of the US – but otherwise, things have quieted down for now.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 17, 2020
Sunshine Prevails Tuesday
TUESDAY: Lather, rinse and repeat cycle continues with another complement of sunshine and seasonable temperatures in the upper 60s to near 70. Lows will drop into the upper 30s and lower 40s by early Wednesday morning.
FIRE RISK TODAY: As we remain dry amid low humidity and occasionally gusty breezes - the potential that outdoor burning could get out of control quickly. Open burning is discouraged today, but also, through Thursday as conditions will remain conducive for runaway fires.
WEDNESDAY: High pressure remains firm over the region through the day ahead of a gradual eastward movement through the latter part of the week. Expect sunshine to win out again – after a chilly start, we’ll work our way back into the 60s to near 70 through the afternoon hours.
EXTENDED FORECAST: High pressure moves farther east through the latter parts of the week – opening the door for warmer air to invade from the west. Temperatures will work their way back into the 70s by Thursday – sneaking to the middle 70s by the weekend. Sunshine will be prevalent through Saturday, though clouds will increase Sunday ahead of our next weather maker; a few fronts will slip through the area, offering opportunities in the few days leading up to Thanksgiving next week.
TROPICS: Iota made a landfall as a strong category 4 hurricane early late Monday night, nearly in the same spot as Hurricane Eta did just 2 weeks ago. Iota is the 6th major hurricane of the 2020 season and the 1st storm to hit category 5 status; along with the latest storm on record to reach category 5 status in the Atlantic basin. The storm will continue to swirl across Central America as it unwinds itself through the next few days. Elsewhere in the basin, it’s quiet; though, an area in the western Caribbean could recover in the next few days, garnering yet another system potentially developing.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx
November 16, 2020
Seasonably Sunny Monday
MONDAY: Expect sunshine to push temperatures back into the middle to upper 60s by the afternoon. Another chilly, clear night expected with lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s by early Tuesday.
TUESDAY: Lather, rinse and repeat cycle continues with another complement of sunshine and seasonable temperatures in the upper 60s to near 70. Lows will drop into the upper 30s and lower 40s by early Wednesday morning.
EXTENDED FORECAST: High pressure will begin to edge farther east through the latter parts of the week – opening the door for warmer air to invade from the west. Temperatures will work their way back into the 70s by Thursday – sneaking to the middle 70s by the weekend. Sunshine will be prevalent through Saturday, though clouds will increase Sunday ahead of our next weather maker, a cold front moving through late Sunday into Monday of next week.
TROPICS: Iota, a major category 5 hurricane this morning, will make a landfall in Nicaragua later tonight – very near the same spot that Eta hit with its worst wind and surge impacts just two weeks ago. Farther inland, heavy rain and wind will be devastating in the same areas hit hard by the former storm. Iota becomes the 6th major hurricane of the 2020 season and the 1st storm to hit category 5 status; along with the latest storm on record to reach category 5 status in the Atlantic basin.
Patrick Ellis
WLBT/FOX 40 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, Twitter, Instagram: @PatrickEllisWx